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bull market?

test sentiment in the market is one branch of technical analysis and a stronger emphasis on the way behavioral analysis investors. There are two main psychological factors that lead investors to make decisions - greed and panic. Taking also other aspects such as involvement in the market - positioning, rate of open positions, creates a psychological portrait of the overall market.
There are some basic rules of what is described in this analysis:
- a more profitable is to address the position in accordance with the so-called attitude. smart money, or large individual or institutional investors - the investment involved as paid work,
- taking positions contrary to the majority of individual investors called. retail traders, since statistically the majority of this group take the wrong decisions and lose money,
- when the overall sentiment in the market is bull and reaches extremes in relation to the previous day, before a warning is also in the extreme prices, this is immediately note - in the market bull, although formed to extremes in sentiment and so follow the money at once above.
So what is the conclusion of the analysis and the market?
Personally, I am not convinced of the opinion that the bull market began, not even saying that this is somehow detached from the fundamentals, but pumping the cash markets for print, has a short-term effect - if it runs out of fuel a rocket will fall down. Cash, of course, will be printed to the death, but the paper itself does not create jobs and economic theories promoted by Bernanke, do not give a perfect application because of the many variables.
See how the market reacts to every rumor and ploteczkę, traders in fractions of seconds can knock indices by a few hundred points. this is not a healthy situation. On the other hand, has long been working strategy of "buy every dip," and the bear market in such a situation would not have taken place. The situation with which we deal is a phenomenon and it is hard to compare the behavior of past investors. So far
SP500 1300pkt not permanently raised, which is the determinant of the psychological. Now traders play a very important level, said gold breached the level of 1325 and closed above it. The market does not give a clear signal to buy the risk and to dispose of their risk portfolios. I myself am curious to see how solve in this situation and play on the growth of small items.

Hot Spot Inside Of Knee

Is investing in the market is easy? III

Individual investors tend to place the blame for their mistakes investment to the whole world around, but not for himself. In addition, some causes of behavioral heuristics that "view" on the market undergoes some deformation. Sam recently przećwiczyłem it on myself, having some good trade'ów this year on the account, I found that I was practically infallible (heuristics overconfidence), I began to transact business without a clear and sober view of the entire market - something missed. 30% loss woke theback lethargy, and found that my game vividly recalls a textbook example of an investor "infallible."
Some people do not realize that by investing their own money in the market, it's like setting up a business are profitable, are the losses are deductible expenses, and most importantly, should have a business plan, a map of profitable procedures and minimize loss. Perhaps some
approach to trading as a game of chance, but it is hard to predict above-average gains, because we are operating in the draw event having no impact on each other, ie independent of each other.
rules which I signed on the right side, are the essence of how I think traders should act in the market, I'm not saying that this is a complete and sacred truth, but by introducing these principles in the transaction, you can expect at least smaller losses;). I proved it last year.
Now on to the merits of that is what is happening in the market? Well, as I mentioned at some point I became what I call "investor infallible." It is a state of mind, where at some point, you can lose a sense of trading. I realized that yesterday a lady who wanted to have a quite bluntly impact on me and blame for their failed investment decisions.
market since Christmas almost all the time growing, I mean American equities. Indicators in the heavens and the earth shows that the bulls are heated to become czerowności and PKC. Like the theory predicts the imminent collapse of sentiment, and at least koretkę, and the market does not even think to make any such distributions zwałki and flies after moving averages as a highway to heaven. Of course enables me to red light, and this time makes no sense to play 5-10 flights, but rather a 2-3 darts central square to test and possibly take a smaller loss. However, when buying every sober-minded investor buys with them, now the issue is who will be dressed in expensive values \u200b\u200bat the top? On eurodolarze all the time we have a strong short squeeze, and anyone who has Short and not out on time with the position of the legs gets hard. Probably
sentiment in the market gently transforms. If we are talking about is the risk of buyer sentiment may be shares in favor of gold, the latter is a magical barrier 1325, so at least shows a graph.

Puppy Symptoms Of Intestinal Blockage

Probably time to admit the mistake and take a loss on the EURUSD, so this is how to fight the trend:), on the other hand I can afford a slightly higher loss for why leave the portfolio after the long side of the dollar. Rally which takes place from last week, I think it is rather weak value is not borne out in the market indices. Typical short squeeze, where the street gets the legs, but unfortunately I also was caught in the trap, now is the depth of the buffer portfolio.

Form: Simple Room Rental Form

dollar dollar dollar

For several days the EURUSD is apparently not at the level of 1.3300-1.3400 and looking at the stock market looks as if the market does not have spdać or even expressed a wish to do so. A lot of investors have been squeezed short positions by market pumped, let's remember that the trend will not last forever, you probably have the hardest when the bears begin to fall on the demand side it may be that, but the adjustment feet will come and tear off the least experienced. Still expecting a correction, although in anticipation of her loss accounts for 35% of my capital. On one hand, this strategy does not allow such a risk, on the other excuses about having to make some circumstantial evidence of sentence stating the strengthening of the dollar in the near future. So quietly waiting for developments.
draw attention to the positioning big players who have more trust in the transactions, the dollar than the euro, smaller investors have pumped the current traffic on the EURUSD and have discussed force overcome the resistance of 1.3430. Another issue is the rate of open positions in the EURUSD traded contracts on the CME. The movements are not endorsed the appreciation rate of growth, suggesting not only great strength of bulls, or rather, bears a stronger stance.
EURUSD-CME-GLOBEX